First up, Gordon Chang, who has been writing about this for years – is he right now?:
China’s Third Era: The End of Reform, Growth, and Stability
Next, the other side of the argument: Francesco Sisci, the dean of Beijing’s foreign press corps, in three articles, the last of which appears as an appendix in the second link. Of particular interest to me is this last and oldest one (from 2007), reprinted from the Italian La Stampa (the translation and editing could use some work), regarding democracy in China…
Why China won’t fall apart
What China Sees in Hong Kong (includes as an appendix “China’s Inevitables: Death, Taxes—and Democracy”)
All are good, interesting reads. You will not rue the time you spend to further educate yourself about China.
Over the top police violence, or what? Why would this be happening in (supposedly) the model nation for the region?
Brief summary here (English translation from Germany’s Der Spiegel).
Context: Stratfor’s analysis here.
Opinion piece about Erdoğan (the Turkish prime minister) here (from an American journalist living in Istanbul).
Outstanding, deep economic background here (Asia Times). Well worth the time to read.
Excellent continuing series of news dispatches here (London’s Telegraph newspaper).
China – Nice Overview
While I don’t agree with all of this site’s points, it definitely is eye-candy and a handy reference for someone wanting to get up to speed on China. Reuters did an unusually good job with this one…
Two seemingly unrelated articles here, here and here. Note, for many, lowering exposure to the US markets (stock and bond) is partially driven by concern about government finances. The California post by professor Mead is indicative of problems in the pipeline that may become evident on the federal level in the near future…
Outstanding presentation by Niall Ferguson on the crisis and collapse of political and economic systems. Although the lecture occurred 2 years ago, it is even more relevant today. The Ad Orientem blog brought this to my attention, and helpfully says:
“This is an outstanding lecture on how countries get too heavily indebted and then suffer a ruinous financial collapse. If you want to understand what is going on now in Europe, and what is almost certainly going to happen here in the coming years, watch this lecture. I suggest starting at around the 8 minute mark to skip the introductions.”
I hope that you find it interesting, as it is a very important hypothesis.